Finance
Equations
- Simple Interest:
- interest rate per year = (redemption value -
principal)/principal X (365/no.days)
- Compound Interest:
- compound value =
principal (1 + int.rate)^no.periods
- interest rate =
exp(ln(compound value/principal)/no.periods) - 1
(????)
- Nominal annual
interest rate:
- effective interest
rate = (1+(Nominal Rate/no.compounding
periods/yr))^(no.compounding periods/yr -1)
- ie. if 4
compounding periods per year and effective rate
is 5.3543%/yr then nominal rate s 5.25%
- Future Value = present value (1 +
int.rate)^no.periods
- Present Value = future value (1 +
int.rate)^-(no.periods)
- =amount needed to
invest now @ int.rate to give a FV @ n periods.
- Annuities: = equal periodic payments over
equal periods of time
- ordinary: =
payments at end of each period
- annuity due: =
payments at beginning of each period
- deferred anuity: =
payments are delayed
- perpetuity: =
anuity continues forever (ie. n -> infinity)
- future value = [
payment (1 + int.rate)^no.periods - 1]
/ int.rate
- eg. $1000
invested @ end yr for 5yrs @ 10%pa =>
FV = $6105
- present values
(PV):
- ordinary
annuity = [ payment (1-(1+int.rate)^-(no.periods))]
/ int.rate
- annuity
due = PV (ord.annuity) * (1+int.rate)
- perpetuity
= payment / int.rate (as n -> infinity
)
Capital Investment
Assessment Methods:
- Payback period:
- if equal annuity:
= init.investment /annual cash flow
- if mixed then work
out manually
- Average Rate Of Return: = av. after tax profits / av.
investment
- = % return on
average investment
- rarely used as no
account of time value of money!
- Discounted Cash Flow
Methods:
- recognises time
value of money;
- appropriate
discount factor is max. rate of return required
(RROR) by firm to invest in such a project.
- a) NPV = (PV cash
flows discounted at RROR) - initial investment
(II)
- if < 0,
then reject project!
- = sum
(cash flowi * (1+k)^-i - II, k = RROR, i
= cash flow period;
- b) IRR = internal
rate of return
- = discount
rate that equates PV cash flows with
initial investment
- ie. solves
for k by making II = PVcash flows;
- if IRR
< RROR then project is rejected.
- c) PI =
profitability index = benefit-cost ratio
- = PV cash
inflows / initial investment
- Modified Internal Rate
Of Return (MIRR):
- = int. rate that
relates FV with initial outlay over the period
- = (PV/FV)^n - 1
(??)
Risk Assessment:
- Measures of risk (the
greater value the greater risk, ? in order of
importance):
- 1) range
- 2) variance
- 3) st. dev.
- 4) coeff. of
variation
- Eg.
Forecast |
Pr(forecast) |
Return
(R) |
Mean
Average |
Weighted
Value |
|
|
|
Pr * R |
(R-mean
av.)2 * Pr |
Pessimistic |
0.25 |
13% |
3.25 |
1 |
Most
likely |
0.50 |
15% |
7.50 |
0 |
Optimistic |
0.25 |
17% |
4.25 |
1 |
sum |
1.00 |
|
15 |
2 = variance |
|
|
|
|
1.41%
= st.dev. |